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China's Economy in 2011
10 Jan 2011
I attended China’s Economy in 2011 at the New York Stock Exchange today. Overall, economists believe that China will experience some fundamental structure change in the next 30 years, toward a much healthier economic growth. Transforming government function and improving legal systems are keys to the successful reform.
Professor Zha from Peking University laid out a map for China’s Energy Strategy. He pointed out that by 2020, hydro will be 41%-48%, nuclear will be 21%-25%, wind will be 8%-13%, and solar will be 1% of the total energy composition. He also commented on the importance of smart grid and smart meter. He said that currently there are 30 million households in China without stable electricity supply. There will be large opportunities for international collaboration.
Zhu Yunlai, the president and CEO of China International Capital Corp. (CICC), made a speech about China’s investment environment and opportunities. Zhu noted that China’s financial sector will be more open to foreign investments in the years to come. He also mentioned that China will still provide good investments due to urbanization and consumption from internal demand.
While some economists expressed concerns over China’s future economic growth, Professor Xiao believes that bubble is not imminent and this investment trend is still positive as income and demand increase.
The forum featured Qin Xiao, the recently retired chairman of the China Merchants Group, and Fan Gang, the director of China's National Economics Research Institute. Qin has been an outspoken advocate of further economic and political reform and Fan is one of China's most authoritative voices on economic policy. Other CCER economists, including Yao Yang, Huang Yiping, Lu Feng, Wu Hou-Mou, Zha Daojiong, Wang Jian-Ye and Xiao Geng, presented their latest forecasts and shared their perspectives on several issues: the trajectory of the yuan-dollar exchange rate, the effectiveness of the Chinese central bank's inflation control measures, the progress of economic rebalancing and China's energy security strategy.
Professor Zha from Peking University laid out a map for China’s Energy Strategy. He pointed out that by 2020, hydro will be 41%-48%, nuclear will be 21%-25%, wind will be 8%-13%, and solar will be 1% of the total energy composition. He also commented on the importance of smart grid and smart meter. He said that currently there are 30 million households in China without stable electricity supply. There will be large opportunities for international collaboration.
Zhu Yunlai, the president and CEO of China International Capital Corp. (CICC), made a speech about China’s investment environment and opportunities. Zhu noted that China’s financial sector will be more open to foreign investments in the years to come. He also mentioned that China will still provide good investments due to urbanization and consumption from internal demand.
While some economists expressed concerns over China’s future economic growth, Professor Xiao believes that bubble is not imminent and this investment trend is still positive as income and demand increase.
The forum featured Qin Xiao, the recently retired chairman of the China Merchants Group, and Fan Gang, the director of China's National Economics Research Institute. Qin has been an outspoken advocate of further economic and political reform and Fan is one of China's most authoritative voices on economic policy. Other CCER economists, including Yao Yang, Huang Yiping, Lu Feng, Wu Hou-Mou, Zha Daojiong, Wang Jian-Ye and Xiao Geng, presented their latest forecasts and shared their perspectives on several issues: the trajectory of the yuan-dollar exchange rate, the effectiveness of the Chinese central bank's inflation control measures, the progress of economic rebalancing and China's energy security strategy.